Former undisputed heavyweight king Oleksandr Usyk will lock horns with Daniel Dubois in a rematch that will set Wembley Stadium alight and rekindle one of the most intriguing narratives in the division. As the date of the fight event draws near, bookmakers have been updating their lines to take another round of bets from fans; the verdict is unanimous as Usyk has been maintained as an overwhelming favorite.
This particular fight has caused a stir in the world of boxing betting not only because of the betting options but because of the styles of the two fighters in the ring. For the bookies, Usyk’s tactical precision and perfect record will make him one of the firm favorites to emerge as the victor in this contest. However, a power-punching resume belonging to Dubois injects an element of unpredictability and makes him an interesting underdog choice for bettors in search of longshot value.
Usyk: The Clear Favorite
Undefeated Ukrainian Oleksandr Usyk has beaten the best in Anthony Joshua and Tyson Fury. He carries great footwork, a high ring IQ, and versatility in weight classes, earning respect from analysts and the betting boards. As to the most recent odds, he is 75%-85% to win according to bookies’ estimations, with some setting as low as 1.18 (-460).
On the other hand, Dubois enters the ring with a very clear underdog label and a less impressive résumé than his opponent. He brings in raw knockout power and youthful determination, yet whether he will blend this with the desired intelligence in the harsh professional environment remains to be seen. Very recently, he has scored impressive stoppage wins and created a stir amongst some of the experts who now feel that if he can land early, he does have a legitimate puncher’s chance. Dubois ‘pro rating in many respects is far less than Usyk’s so it comes as no surprise that most betting lines put his chances of an upset at only around 15%-25%.
Comparison of Current Odds by Bookmaker
Here are the current betting odds from some of the major sportsbooks:
Bookmaker | Usyk Win | Dubois Win | Draw | Usyk KO/TKO | Usyk Decision | Dubois KO/TKO | Dubois Decision |
Bet365 | 1.18 | 5.40 | 23.0 | 2.10 | 2.87 | 5.50 | 13.0 |
William Hill | 1.25 | 4.00 | 22.0 | ||||
Paddy Power | 1.22 | 4.00 | 28.0 | ||||
DraftKings (US) | -300 | +235 | +115 | +200 | +350 | +1000 |
Why the Market Likes Usyk
With the odds laid out, it’s worth examining why Usyk is seen as the frontrunner. Sometimes, oddsmakers and analysts coincide in discussing a boxer’s percentage, and here they overwhelmingly agree that Usyk holds the edge due to his unique technique and championship experience.
- Usyk’s Elite Movement: Usyk is one of the elite movers. His lateral movement, evasion, and footwork are the reason anyone hardly lands a clean punch on him.
- Ring IQ: A tactical brain, switching things up during bouts when they haven’t gone to plan even with the most seasoned competitors.
- Big-Fight Experience: Successfully pulling off headline performances, including back-to-back victories over Anthony Joshua.
All in all, it paints a challenging puzzle for any heavyweight to try and unpick, let alone a gung-ho forward force like Dubois.
Dubois’ Path to Victory
Obviously, Dubois is not much to be underestimated. This young British lad packs explosive knockout power and would love nothing more than to make the Ukrainian pay for any defensive lapses. For that reason, some analysts give him an outside chance of an upset, especially if he can hit clean early in the fight before Usyk gets into a rhythm.
Most people feel that Dubois’ best—perhaps only—chance is by stoppage. His odds of winning by decision are around 13.0 to 19.0, and this reflects the market’s skepticism about whether he can outbox a technician like Usyk over twelve rounds.
Popular Betting Props
The most popular prop markets getting the attention of bettors are as follows:
- Usyk to win by KO/TKO/DQ: Quoted between 2.10 and 2.50, with people believing a late stoppage is feasible.
Final Prediction: Usyk by Decision (Tactical)
- Market: Slightly wider odds (2.10–2.87), offering value for those expecting a tactical victory.
- Over/Under Rounds (9.5): The over is slightly favored, signaling expectations of a prolonged battle.
These props suggest the market expects Usyk to control the fight—either through volume and finesse or a late accumulation leading to stoppage.
From betting trends and expert analysis, the market leans heavily toward Usyk either by methodical decision or a late finish. Dubois undoubtedly carries enough power to keep fans on edge, but the path to victory is narrow and hugely tied to a fast start.
Dubois is a live underdog here. He has a puncher’s chance with betting support very slim. The popular props are on a Usyk decision or late stoppage. Even betting markets and expert analysts all feel that the crown should stay with Usyk unless Dubois lands something big early.
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